Russia's 'Two-Move Game': Why the Oleshky Truce Is a Tactical Pause, Not Peace

Russia has agreed to a ceasefire and evacuation in occupied Oleshky, but Ukrainian serviceman and political analyst Volodymyr Molchanov warns the truce is likely a tactical maneuver. He says Russia is using the pause to reinforce its military group with supplies and ammunition, expecting intensified attacks on Ukraine's right bank afterward. Molchanov estimates about 2,000 civilians remain in Oleshky and up to 1,000 in nearby villages, with Russian troops outnumbering residents. He suggests Russia's motives include projecting a humanitarian image or aiding Donald Trump politically before US elections, noting the initiative reportedly came through Trump's wife Melania. The evacuation format does not include crossing the front line, and Ukrainian officials likely won't be permitted to monitor the operation. Molchanov doubts American oversight will be independent, as Washington seeks a political win. He describes catastrophic conditions for remaining residents, who face starvation and Russian-imposed minefields, calling it a war crime violating the Geneva Convention.