Zelensky meets Trump in New York: four scenarios for the pivotal talks

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky departed for the United States on Monday, September 21, to meet with President Donald Trump in New York, a meeting he said "could change a lot." The trip comes as the UN General Assembly convenes this week. The meeting is expected to focus on potential diplomatic outcomes, with AI analysis suggesting a 35% probability of a limited ceasefire agreement covering energy, maritime, and specific strikes. Other scenarios include a political breakthrough without a ceasefire (30%), increased US pressure on both sides (20%), or no tangible results (15%). Zelensky's flight from Romania includes a refueling stop in Ireland. Russian President Vladimir Putin will not attend, with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov representing Russia. The meeting's success will be measured by concrete outcomes on air defense systems, military aid, sanctions, ceasefire mechanisms, and agreement on future talks.