Brazil Runoff: Bolsonaro and Lula in Dead Heat Ahead of Sunday Vote

newsweek.com —

Brazil votes Sunday in a presidential runoff between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with final polls showing a statistical dead heat while prediction markets favor Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro, a Trump ally, finished first in the October 4 round with 47.03 percent to Lula's 45.16 percent, defying surveys. Recent polls show margins within error, with an average placing Bolsonaro at 50.9 percent and Lula at 49.1 percent. No candidate finishing second in the first round has won a runoff since 1985. The winner takes office January 5, 2027, inheriting sluggish growth and a fiscal deficit.


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