Atlas and Estadão project Lula victory in 2026 with 51.4% of votes

bahianoticias.com.br (Portuguese) —

Atlas CEO Andrei Roman and Estadão projections indicate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the 2026 presidential election with 51.4% of valid votes, based on TSE data. Roman stated on X that Lula defeated Flávio Bolsonaro, following Estadão's statistical projection showing a 2.8-point margin. The estimate used partial TSE results and historical data to project uncounted votes. The projection is not official, as Lula held 50.3% against Bolsonaro's 49.7% in partial counts. Final confirmation depends on the Electoral Court completing the tally.


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Atlas and Estadão project Lula victory in 2026 with 51.4% of votes | News Minimalist