Ukraine's Hopes and Risks After the US Midterm Elections

Ukraine hopes for increased US financial and military aid following the Democratic Party's decisive victory in the US midterm elections, as stated by President Volodymyr Zelensky in Berlin on November 3, 2026. However, experts in Washington urge caution, noting President Donald Trump retains broad authority over foreign policy. Analysts suggest changes may be largely "atmospheric and psychological," with a more confrontational Congress and weakened MAGA movement. Risks for Kyiv include aid becoming a bargaining chip in Trump-Democrat clashes, and the danger of relying solely on Democrats ahead of the 2028 presidential election. Experts advise Kyiv to maintain bipartisan support, as Trump may push for a ceasefire to secure his legacy. First Lady Melania Trump's initiative, including a November 5 White House meeting and a truce in occupied Oleshky, exemplifies this pressure toward peace negotiations.