Europe Faces a Two-Front Crossfire

Democrats won control of Congress, and voters demonstrated the vitality of American democracy. Starting in January 2027, domestic dynamics will feature a likely relentless power struggle between the executive and legislative branches. Outside the US, the central question is the evolution of President Donald Trump's foreign policy, with European allies retaining strong reasons for concern. Congress will constrain Trump domestically through investigations and potential impeachment proceedings, but not abroad, where the Constitution grants the president significant leeway. Trump seeks historic successes, such as a deal with Moscow on Ukraine that could legitimize Russian gains and expose Europe. Europe faces a two-front crossfire: Russia aims to divide Europeans and restore its influence, while tech giants led by Elon Musk seek to undermine state cohesion and dismantle European regulation.