Democrats' Foreign Policy Leash on Trump Remains Short

Democrats regained control of Congress after the midterm elections, but their ability to constrain President Trump's foreign policy remains limited, with potential for a major attack on Iran and a deal-making approach toward China. Middle Eastern officials say Democratic victories have not reduced the likelihood of renewed US-Iran conflict, which could occur soon. A unified Democratic Congress could raise the costs of escalation, pressuring the administration toward agreements rather than new attacks. US military aid to Israel will continue despite Democratic control, while Ukraine support decisions remain largely with the executive branch. Allies worry Trump may prioritize deals with China or North Korea, and tariff threats against the EU are expected before year's end.