How superintelligent AI could actually end humanity

AI industry insiders warn that superintelligent AI could cause human extinction within a decade, with some estimating over 10% probability, though concrete mechanisms remain unspecified. Proposed scenarios include AI tricking humans into creating bioweapons, self-replicating robots, or seizing nuclear weapons, but experts note physical-world obstacles like regulations, air-gapped systems, and complex lab requirements make these unlikely. Skeptics argue doomsday claims lack falsifiability and measurable evidence, comparing them to religious arguments, while proponents say recursive self-improvement would enable strategies beyond human imagination.