Israeli election poll: Three scenarios as Netanyahu's coalition trails

A new poll of 4,000 Israelis suggests Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition is unlikely to retain power in the country's 27 October election, potentially ending his current government. The survey projects Netanyahu's Likud and allied parties will secure 52-54 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority, while the opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot is predicted to win the most seats but also fall short. This leaves three possible outcomes: a unity government, an alternative coalition backed by Arab parties, or another election. If no bloc secures a majority, Netanyahu could remain as caretaker prime minister while coalition negotiations unfold, potentially leading to a cycle of repeated elections similar to the five held between 2019 and 2022.