Scientists predict 2026 will be hottest year on record as COP31 opens in Turkey
Scientists predict 2026 will be the hottest year on record as climate change and El Niño combine, with Berkeley Earth expressing 95% confidence the year will surpass the previous record set in 2024. The warning comes as COP31 opens Monday in Antalya, Turkey. Recent impacts include extensive European wildfires and a Nepal glacier collapse killing over 1,000 people, while October was confirmed as the hottest on record. The WMO forecasts 2026 among the four warmest years, with El Niño continuing into 2027. Negotiators face pressure to balance emissions cuts with adaptation to extreme weather, though the UK is reluctant to set new goals. Wealthier nations have reached only a third of their $85bn climate funding commitment to developing countries by 2035.