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Euro's dollar resilience tested by energy prices and political risk

live.euronext.com — September 29, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC

The euro is trading near its lowest levels of the year against the dollar, pressured by a global energy shock and rising political risk in Europe, after falling about 2% this month to just below $1.14. The currency's outlook is muddied by a renewed rise in oil prices and political instability, including Germany's far-right gains in state elections and French concerns over debt and gridlock ahead of the 2027 presidential election. The premium on French 10-year bonds over German has widened above 110 basis points. European gas prices above €80 per megawatt hour, driven by the Iran war choking LNG shipments, are a key hurdle, with analysts saying prices must soften for the euro to recover. Options traders have turned more negative, though some forecasters maintain a $1.16 year-end target.

With a significance score of 3.8, this news ranks in the top 7.5% of today's 33538 analyzed articles.

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[4.0]

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[3.9]

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[3.9]

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[3.8]

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[3.8]

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[3.8]

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[3.7]

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1d 13h

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[3.7]

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[3.6]

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1d 11h

[3.5]

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[3.5]

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[3.4]

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1d 11h

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[3.4]

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[3.3]

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[3.3]

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[3.3]

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[3.2]

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[3.2]

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[3.2]

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[3.2]

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[3.2]

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[3.1]

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[3.1]

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[3.1]

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[3.1]

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[3.1]

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[3.0]

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[3.0]

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[2.9]

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[2.9]

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[2.8]

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[2.8]

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[2.7]

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<1h

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[2.7]

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[2.7]

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[2.7]

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[2.6]

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[2.6]

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<1h

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[2.6]

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[2.6]

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[2.6]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.5]

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[2.4]

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[2.4]

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[2.4]

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[2.4]

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[2.3]

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[2.3]

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[2.3]

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[2.2]

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[2.2]

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[2.2]

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[2.2]

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[2.1]

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[2.1]

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[2.1]

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[2.1]

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[2.0]

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[2.0]

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[2.0]

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[2.0]

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[1.9]

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<1h

[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.9]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.8]

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[1.7]

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1d 21h

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[1.7]

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[1.7]

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[1.7]

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[1.7]

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[1.7]

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[1.7]

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1d 15h

[1.7]

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[1.7]

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[1.6]

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[1.6]

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1d 18h

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[1.6]

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[1.6]

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[1.5]

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[1.5]

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1d 5h

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[1.5]

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1d 14h

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[1.5]

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[1.5]

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[1.5]

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15h

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[1.4]

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1d 17h

[1.4]

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[1.4]

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1d 14h

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[1.4]

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18h

[1.4]

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1d 9h

[1.4]

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14h

[1.4]

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1d 1h

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[1.4]

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1d 21h

[1.3]

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15h

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[1.3]

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20h

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[1.3]

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11h

[1.3]

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15h

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[1.3]

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8h

[1.3]

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1d 14h

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[1.3]

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1d 17h

[1.2]

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1d 14h

[1.2]

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23h

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[1.2]

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9h

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[1.2]

US stocks fall as Treasury yields hit multi-year highs (invezz.com)

23h

Link Source (Swedish)

[1.2]

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1d 12h

[1.1]

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1d 15h

[1.1]

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15h

[1.1]

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15h

[1.1]

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1d 14h

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[1.1]

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17h

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[1.1]

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1d 12h

[1.1]

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1d 18h

[1.1]

Sensex recovers 500 points, Nifty reclaims 22,700 as value buying lifts markets (moneycontrol.com)

1d 12h

[1.1]

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14h

[1.0]

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1d 13h

[1.0]

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1d 10h

[1.0]

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8h

[1.0]

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6h

[1.0]

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1d 3h

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[1.0]

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13h

[1.0]

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1d 15h

[1.0]

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1d 13h

[1.0]

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12h

[1.0]

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1d 14h

[1.0]

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1d 14h

[1.0]

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1d 5h

[1.0]

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1d 16h

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[0.9]

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1d 16h

[0.9]

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1d 12h

[0.9]

Asian stocks fall after Wall Street losses; oil climbs on Gulf tensions (news18.com)

1d 14h

[0.9]

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1d 14h

[0.9]

Indian stock market recovers as IT stocks gain despite rising crude prices (yourstory.com)

14h

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[0.8]

Nifty 50 support at 22,570; Bank Nifty weak as September ends (moneycontrol.com)

24h

[0.8]

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9h

[0.8]

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21h

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[0.8]

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15h