El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate by exactly 7 points, matching his May prediction

Michigan's Democratic senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed defeated Republican Mike Rogers by exactly 7 points on Tuesday, precisely matching his May 3 prediction, stunning observers with the accuracy of his forecast. El-Sayed's May social media post vowed to "smoke" Rogers by that margin, a claim widely dismissed as swagger. With over 95% of votes counted, the result matched his prediction to the hundredth of a percentage point, prompting widespread astonishment from journalists and strategists. His victory came despite significant opposition, including nearly $30 million in spending by AIPAC, criticism over his stance on Israel, and an endorsement of Rogers by his primary rival, Rep. Haley Stevens.