Europe Prepares Contingency Plans as Russia Warns of Possible NATO Attack
European officials are preparing contingency plans amid warnings that Russia may attack NATO territory, though Latvian President Edgars Rinkevics says Russian provocations and sabotage are already underway. He described the current situation as ongoing hybrid attacks rather than conventional war. European intelligence agencies, the CIA, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk have warned Russia could launch air attacks on NATO members to test Article 5 commitments. Recent incidents attributed to Russia include arson, assassination plots, railway vandalism, and electronic interference, though Moscow denies involvement. The "Narva scenario" describes a potential Russian hybrid attack on Estonia's border city to test NATO resolve. While Baltic officials report no Russian military buildup near their borders, analysts say such scenarios need deeper examination. NATO defense plans remain classified, and Washington is considering a permanent US Army base in Poland.