Sea surface temperature predicts global dengue trends, aiding outbreak planning
Xinhua — May 10, 2024, 09:00 AM UTC
Summary: Chinese scientists found sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean can predict global dengue epidemics' magnitude. Dengue affects half the world's population. Climate events like El Nino impact dengue transmission. Models can now predict outbreaks up to nine months in advance, a significant improvement from previous three-month forecasts. This could enhance outbreak response planning. Further evaluation of the model's predictive performance is required.
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