Russia's rejection of ceasefire could escalate Ukraine conflict

Michael Clarke discussed the potential impact of a ceasefire proposal from Washington on the Ukraine war. He noted that if Russia rejects the plan, it could lead to further escalation in the conflict. Clarke identified Moldova and Georgia as vulnerable to Russian pressure. He mentioned ongoing protests in Georgia against its pro-Russia government, suggesting that instability could prompt Russian intervention. He also highlighted the Baltic states—Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania—as at risk. Clarke indicated that Russia might attempt to exploit weaknesses in NATO's response to create doubt about the alliance's effectiveness.