Reform UK leads in Runcorn by-election polling

Reform UK leads in new polling for the Runcorn and Helsby by-election, with 40% support compared to Labour's 35%. When focusing on certain voters, Reform's lead increases to nine points. The Conservatives trail with 10% support. This by-election follows the resignation of former Labour MP Mike Amesbury, who left after receiving a suspended prison sentence for assaulting a constituent. He previously won the seat with a significant majority in 2024. Labour's candidate will be Karen Shore, while other parties have not yet announced their candidates. The by-election serves as a key test for Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer.