Polls show Christian Democratic Union poised to lead coalition in German federal election

Polls suggest the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) will win Germany's federal election, likely forming a coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD). This marks a shift from the previous coalition led by outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz. CDU leader Friedrich Merz aims to move the party further right, focusing on tax cuts and increased defense spending. The SPD, polling at 16%, may become a junior partner in the new government, leading to a significant change in its leadership. The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained support, now at 21%, but lacks clear allies. The election's outcome could be influenced by a new law affecting seat distribution and the performance of smaller parties.