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Global temperature overshoot 'irrecoverable' as policies point to 2.7C warming

theguardian.com — November 12, 2026 at 05:01 AM UTC

The world is heading for an "irrecoverable overshoot" of global temperature thresholds, with current policies projected to cause 2.7C of warming by 2100, according to a Climate Action Tracker analysis. This level of warming exceeds the 1.5C target agreed a decade ago, which is set to be breached within years, bringing intolerable storms, droughts, heatwaves and flooding. UN talks in Antalya, Turkey, are focusing on this looming overshoot, with leaders urged to phase out fossil fuels. Even in the most optimistic scenario, where all pledges are fulfilled, warming would reach 1.9C. Clean energy investment has doubled, but experts warn governments are moving too slowly, with some nations slowing climate action to a "staggering level."

With a significance score of 5.8, this news ranks in the top 0.4% of today's 31938 analyzed articles.

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[5.7]

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[5.5]

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[5.0]

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[4.9]

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[4.8]

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[4.5]

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[4.5]

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[4.3]

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[4.3]

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[4.3]

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[4.2]

Marshall Islands president warns 1.5°C breach would end 'world we know' at COP31 (firstpost.com)

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[4.1]

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[3.9]

Greta Thunberg tells Cop31 summit: planet 'is being killed' (theguardian.com)

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[3.8]

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[3.7]

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1d 23h

[3.7]

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[3.5]

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1d 2h

[3.4]

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[3.3]

UK appoints world’s first climate security representative (theguardian.com)

1d 19h

[3.3]

UK appoints climate security envoy as island leaders urge action at Antalya talks (ctvnews.ca)

1d 6h

[3.2]

Lula demands rich nations fund forest preservation at COP31 (g1.globo.com)

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[3.2]

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1d 22h

[3.2]

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[3.1]

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[3.1]

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1d 22h

[3.1]

Greta Thunberg at COP31: 'The planet is being killed' (handelsblatt.com)

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[3.0]

Guterres at COP31: Fossil fuels must go the way of the dinosaurs (ilfattoquotidiano.it)

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[3.0]

COP31 leaders urge climate action despite wars and trade disputes (business-standard.com)

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[2.8]

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[2.7]

Greta Thunberg returns to COP31 in Turkey, warns 'the planet is being killed' (publico.pt)

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[2.6]

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1d 8h

[2.6]

Lula and Norway's PM discuss deforestation and forest fund at COP31 (noticias.uol.com.br)

1d 5h

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[2.5]

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[2.1]

Norway reaffirms partnership with Brazil in Lula meeting (valor.globo.com)

1d 8h

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[1.9]

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1d 22h