Influenza and Disease X are top pandemic threats

The Guardian April 20, 2024, 10:00 AM UTC

Summary: Influenza is predicted by 57% of senior scientists to cause the next pandemic, as revealed in a survey of 187 experts. Disease X, an unknown virus, is the next likely threat according to 21% of respondents. H5N1 avian flu is spreading among mammals, raising concerns about potential human transmission. Scientists warn against complacency post-Covid, emphasizing the need for preventive measures.

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Significance5.4
Scale7.0
Magnitude7.5
Potential8.5
Novelty6.0
Actionability4.0
Immediacy8.0
Positivity3.0
Credibility9.0

Timeline:

  1. [4.1]
    Flu virus predicted as likely next pandemic cause (Firstpost)
    25d
    Source
  2. [4.7]
    Flu identified as top pandemic threat by experts (HeraldScotland)
    27d
    Source
  3. [5.4]
    Next pandemic may be caused by Disease X or influenza (Hindustan Times)
    28d
    Source