Atlantic current shutdown unlikely this century, study finds

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A new study suggests that the collapse of Atlantic Ocean currents, which could drastically affect Europe's climate, is unlikely this century. Researchers used 34 computer models and found no simulations predicting a total shutdown before 2100. The study indicates that while the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may weaken, a secondary mechanism from the Southern Ocean could help maintain it. This counters previous concerns about an imminent collapse due to climate change. Current AMOC strength is around 17 Sverdrups, down from 19 in 2004. While some models show significant weakening, they do not predict a complete shutdown, which is defined as zero Sverdrups.


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