Traders expect market stress around US election, rising volatility

Summary: Stock traders are anticipating increased market stress around the US election in November, with Vix futures indicating rising volatility. The Vix curve shows a steady increase over the next six months, peaking above 20 for October contracts. Analysts predict a more volatile second half of the year due to the election. Some suggest that the growth of equity exchange traded funds may be artificially compressing the Vix.

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