Total Amoc collapse unlikely this century, study finds

theguardian.com

A new study indicates that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc) is unlikely to completely collapse this century, although it may weaken significantly. This finding contrasts with earlier predictions suggesting a potential collapse within the century. The study highlights that while the Amoc is becoming unstable, it remains supported by winds in the Southern Ocean. Researchers used advanced climate models to assess the Amoc's behavior under extreme conditions, finding it could slow by 20% to 80% without a total collapse. Despite the reduced risk of immediate collapse, scientists warn that even a weakened Amoc could lead to severe climate impacts globally, including changes in rainfall patterns and increased sea levels. Further research is needed to understand the Amoc's future behavior and its implications.


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