Quebec's next government likely to break most campaign promises, data shows

Quebec governments have fully delivered on only 49% of their election promises since 1994, according to Université Laval's Polimeter project, making it more likely a provincial government will break or walk back a campaign pledge than keep it. Researchers say a government's ability to fulfill promises depends on economic conditions, mandate length, and the nature of the pledges. Promises within a government's direct control, like passing legislation, are easier to keep, while those requiring outcomes dependent on external factors, such as overcoming labour shortages or negotiating with Ottawa, are far harder to achieve. The next government faces severe constraints including worker shortages, a persistent deficit, and economic uncertainty from the trade war with the U.S. Parties promising to cut bureaucracy while improving services face contradictions, and ambitious targets like building 100,000 housing units annually exceed projections of roughly 72,000 units due to construction worker shortages.