PSD leads in competitive state governor races, with PL close behind

The PSD is the party with the most competitive candidates in state governor races, according to a UOL analysis of polls released on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The PL follows behind, with the PP and Republicans next. The analysis, based on Quaest and Datafolha surveys, classified candidates as competitive if they lead or are within the margin of error. The PT has three competitive candidates, potentially winning in Piauí, Bahia, and Ceará, where races are tight. The PSD leads in six states, while the PL leads in five. The data suggests 19 right-wing candidates are competitive, versus 8 centrists and 3 leftists. Several races may go to a second round on October 25, while at least 13 states and the Federal District could be decided in the first round on Sunday, October 4.