Paraná Pesquisas: Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in São Paulo's second-round presidential election poll

Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in a hypothetical second-round presidential election in São Paulo, according to a Paraná Pesquisas poll. The poll indicates Flávio Bolsonaro would receive 48.1% of the vote compared to Lula's 40.3%. In a first-round scenario, they are technically tied. The survey of 1,600 São Paulo residents was conducted from April 11-14, 2026, with a 2.5% margin of error.