Only one No. 7 seed wins NFL playoff game since expansion

Since the NFL expanded its playoff format in 2020, only one No. 7 seed has won a playoff game. The Green Bay Packers defeated the Dallas Cowboys 48-32 in the 2024 playoffs. Overall, No. 7 seeds have a record of 1-8 in the playoffs, with a 1-7 record in wild-card games. Most matchups between No. 2 and No. 7 seeds have been lopsided. In the 2025 playoffs, the Packers and the Denver Broncos are the No. 7 seeds. The Packers will face the Philadelphia Eagles, while the Broncos will play the Buffalo Bills.