France's Debt Crisis Pressures Euro as Moody's Rating Decision Looms

cnnportugal.iol.pt (Portuguese) —

France faces severe economic and political difficulties that are already depreciating the euro, with pressure expected to increase Friday if Moody's confirms a credit rating downgrade. French public debt nears €3.6 trillion, about 120% of GDP, with ten-year borrowing costs surpassing 5% this week. The yield spread versus German debt approached its highest level since the 2011 sovereign debt crisis, signaling investor concern. Oxford Economics warns of potential contagion to other highly indebted eurozone countries if French bond yields rise significantly, creating an asymmetric impact across the currency bloc. Economist Filipe Garcia calls the situation "very worrying," noting France cannot monetize its debt like the US. Political uncertainty ahead of April presidential elections, with extremist candidates Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon proposing costly pension reforms, compounds the crisis. The euro has fallen about 3.2% against the dollar since September.


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