El Niño to Persist Until 2027, WMO Warns of Extreme Weather

gismeteo.ru (Russian)

The World Meteorological Organization reports a near 100% probability that the El Niño event will persist until at least February 2027, with it potentially reaching very high intensity by late 2026. Unusually strong warming in the tropical Pacific Ocean, with subsurface water temperatures exceeding averages by over 8°C in some areas, drives the forecast. This could significantly alter rainfall and temperature patterns globally, raising risks of droughts, floods, and extreme heat. The WMO notes impacts will vary by region and season, with above-normal temperatures likely over most land from September to November 2026. El Niño is a natural phenomenon, not caused by climate change.


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