AtlasIntel poll shows Lula leading in 2026 presidential election simulations

gazetadopovo.com.br (Portuguese)

President Lula leads in most simulated 2026 election scenarios, according to a new AtlasIntel poll. The survey shows Lula ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro and Tarcisio de Freitas in several first-round matchups. A scenario mirroring 2022 results shows a technical tie between Lula and ineligible Jair Bolsonaro. The poll surveyed 4,986 people from February 19-24, 2026, with a 1-point margin of error.


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