AfD extends lead to 29 percent, Union at 20 in new poll

A new INSA poll shows the AfD at 29 percent, nine points ahead of the Union at 20 percent, with the Greens surpassing the SPD. This shifts possible coalition arithmetic for the federal government. The Greens rose one point to 14 percent, while the SPD stayed at 13 percent. The Left held at 10 percent. The FDP (4%) and BSW (3%) would miss the 5% threshold, leaving 14% of votes unrepresented. INSA chief Hermann Binkert says a "Kenia" coalition of Union, Greens, and SPD is the most likely option at 47 percent. An AfD-Union alliance would reach 49 percent but is politically excluded. Chancellor Merz faces 78% disapproval.