Canada prepares for unlikely US invasion scenario

Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Canada's military is running scenarios for a potential US invasion, calling the risk low but necessary to consider amid strained relations under President Donald Trump. Carney told the New York Times that planning for the "highly improbable" scenario is standard risk management, as Trump's tariffs and 51st-state comments unsettle Canadians. A Leger poll found over 30% of Canadians believe an invasion is likely, though military experts call it a long shot. Canada and the US share deep defence ties through NORAD and NATO, but historical fears of US expansionism remain foundational to Canadian identity. A theoretical model suggests Canadian forces would be overwhelmed within a week, resorting to guerrilla warfare, though American officers might resist such orders.